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  • Bayesian Graduation of FHA/HUD Single Family Home Mortgage Insurance Contracts
    Bayesian ... 13 50748.1 14 47714.7 15 44879.5 16 42226.2 17 39539.1 18 36841.2 19 34154.8 20 31502.8 21 28908 ... 13 54 6107 14 34 6090 15 21 6071 16 13 6560 17 8 7057 18 4 7563 19 3 8076 20 2 8587 21 1 9099 ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Jan 1981
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
  • Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages
    Albany, NY 102,1 17.36 4.71 1.32 8.45 2.00 846400 17 Raleigh-Durham, NC 102.0 16.31 13.80 . . . . 2.40 ... 1167800 1054500 297400 878200 431500 48762200 17 N.A.R. METRO AREA HOME PRICE DATA ANN,PGT.

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog, THERESA R DVENTI
    • Date: Jan 1990
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Annuities>Payout annuities; Finance & Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Statistical Tests of the Lognormal Distribution as a Basis for Interest Rate Changes
    But 1 +17 =PT+ql/P,"; thus the lognormal assumption for bond prices implies that the In(1 +17) is normally ... are STATISTICAL TESTS OF LOONORMAL DISTRIBUTION 17 standardized techniques for collecting and recording ...

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    • Authors: David N Becker, Douglas Doll, Thomas Herzog, Daniel W Tucker
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation
  • Credibility: The Bayesian Model versus Bühlmann's Model
    Credibility: ... P[X2 = rn~X, = k] 0 2 14 Total Value of k 17/24 7/36 7/72 7/12 85/288 35/288 14 7/12 ... of claim amounts. Example 4. 4: Suppose that 17 claims are observed during the first four periods ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Oct 1989
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Information Theoretic Approach to Actuarial Science: A Unification and Extension of Relevant Theory and Applications
    Information Theoretic ... 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 31 ... is described in more detail in Brockett and Cox [17]. We provide two numerical examples that illustrate ...

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    • Authors: Bradley P Carlin, Beda Chan, Thomas Herzog, William L Roach, Elias Shiu, Patrick L Brockett, Josh Babier, Wojciech Szatzschneider, E S Rosenbloom
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Believe It Or Not!
    Believe It Or Not! Presenters at session ... right answer with the tools that were there. Some 17 years later, our next guest, Hans Buhlmann has the ... 17 Believe It Or Not! into difficulties when trying ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog, Stuart Klugman
    • Date: Jun 1998
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages
    Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages This report describes a stochastic simulation approach ... Albany, NY 102.1 17.36 4.71 1.32 8.45 2.00 846,400 17. Raleigh-Durham, NC 102.0 16.31 13.80 -- - 2.40 ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog, Tapen Sinha, Theresa R DiVenti, Application Administrator
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models